The accurate estimation of the credit risk parameters is crucial for provisioning under IFRS9 and capital requirements (when using an IRB approach) as well as for setting up strategies for pricing, risk appetite setting, etc. Due to their unique characteristics, Low Default Portfolios (LDPs) pose distinct challenges that require modellers to explore different modelling and calibration approaches. The application of any alternative modelling technique for LDPs must be independently evaluated for each case based on various factors such as portfolio characteristics, segment, data availability, rating homogeneity, etc. This blog post elaborates on the relevant regulatory landscape, challenges and potential solutions for dealing with the LDPs.

In November 2022, the ECB published the “Walking the talk: Banks gearing up to manage risks from climate change and environmental degradation” report, which concludes that implemented practices do not always reach the desired level of soundness, comprehensiveness, or effectiveness. This article focuses on climate risk management. We argue that, whilst sophisticated practices are necessary, banks could optimise their approaches based on the structure of their portfolios without compromising their existing Net-Zero commitments. We discuss how to meet the regulator’s required level of maturity for materiality and credit risk assessments, whilst considering business logic and strategy in selecting the appropriate solutions to implement.

In August 2022, the Bermuda Monetary Authority (“BMA”) published the Guidance Note on management of climate change risks (“the guidance”) which outlines the BMA’s expectations for commercial insurers and insurance groups. This is a part of a wider movement in the insurance and banking sectors to recognise climate change risk and begin to analyse exposures and vulnerabilities. The BMA guidance presents a broad view of the expectations, including Board responsibilities and governance, strategy, risk monitoring and escalation regimes, staff training requirements, as well as the ORSA and scenario analysis expectations.

With the release of ‘Good practices for climate-related and environmental risk management’, the ECB recognized that industry-wide knowledge sharing will be pertinent for promoting and acceleration in the practices adoption. The provided examples and best practices in the report bring valuable starting point to financial institutions aiming to improve their internal operations and frameworks.

On the 4th of November, the European Banking Authority (EBA) published the final package for the next EU-wide Stress Test, which will be officially launched in January 2023. This article outlines how the Stress Test exercise has changed, summarises the approach presented by the EBA Methodological Note for the next exercise’s run and discusses the future of stress testing.